Big Cap Loss Of Appeal vs. Holiday Seasonality
Added 2024-11-22 05:02:13 +0000 UTCOptionStrat link: https://optionstrat.com/themaverickofwallstreet
Market Recap:
00:00 Intro
2:50 Headlines Of The Day: MSTR, SEC, DOJ
8:15 Big Cap Loss Of Appeal
15:10 Market Performance: IWM Leads Because Of This
17:55 Heat Map: VIX vs Big Caps
20:11 Commodities: Why Copper Is Long Term Bullish
23:45 Options: I Like This VIX Trade
33:20 Charts: What I'm Watching For Tomorrow
50:37 Outlook
Outro Music: Where Did You Go - Kaskade
Comments
Great video, but your thoughts on Matt are bias, obviously trump knew about this and wanted to flush out the republicans who would give him problems, and they made themselves known. The ole bait and switch.
Robert Molina
2024-11-22 15:12:08 +0000 UTCDonald Trump did this to save Matt. Mav you have no sense of loyalty. Trump knew he was toast and unqualified by the ethics report. JMHO just as much as yours.
Michael Vez
2024-11-22 14:02:23 +0000 UTCXAU is up (again) this morning.... the old man doesn't give a fuck. The old man is shouting it from his megaphone (pattern).
AURUM
2024-11-22 13:28:29 +0000 UTCHousing crisis 2.0 is already here. It'll take about a 1.5-2yrs to manifest itself. Rates going up is "good" for banks except for the banks sitting on 3-4% mortgages while their depositors demand higher interest to keep their money in their banks. The unrealized losses are a ticking time bomb. 30yr mortgages pushing 8% is just the start. BAC is rumored to be the first to collapse.... a good "Buffett" indicator.
AURUM
2024-11-22 13:18:07 +0000 UTCThanks Mav. Gotta say I've never seen the market so influenced by some invisible hand. All the hedge fund favorites ran today keeping the market up while the big cap tech was down. And this keeps flipping on a dime day to day. It's something to keep the indexes up and it seems like everyone knows that is what keeps the fear at bay. Software, Financials, Industrials, Defense, Utilities, Real Estate all ran so big, it just confirms they are playing a game to keep all the indexes elevated, so gotta play the game that we are given.
MiloTrader1
2024-11-22 12:51:05 +0000 UTCMav!!!
Stavros Deriziotis
2024-11-22 11:46:19 +0000 UTCThanks Mav
Longrun
2024-11-22 10:35:09 +0000 UTCThe big difference between KRE and XLF is the regional banks have all those bad loans on the books for commercial real estate. Higher rates may be good for banks, but it's dreadful for commercial real estate borrowers. You know the saying, "a rolling loan gathers no moss". But a lot of those loans may come to an abrupt halt in 2025 when the medium banks can no longer extend and pretend. In some cases, they'll be checking the mail for keys coming back. The big banks don't have this problem, except for Bank of Brian, aka Bank of America (BAC), who is a portfolio lender for consumer loans. That's the secret of why Buffet/Berkshire is dumping BAC like it's a sewage truck with a leak. But BAC is a G-SIB, so the Fed will give it kid glove treatment should it start running into trouble in order to remain solvent. The medium banks are not going to feel this kind of love. So if the algos are tying the KRE as substitutable to XLF, that's a huge mistake. I smell a pairs trade play here.
J Hamilton
2024-11-22 09:21:31 +0000 UTCyeah just ignore the makings of a cup and handle on tlt since 2019...ill put my bets on the table of history repeating itself once more. or should we not invest in gold becuase its been dead for a decade...
Megadove
2024-11-22 09:03:09 +0000 UTCThank you sir
Rico a
2024-11-22 08:22:33 +0000 UTCUsually, we have "trader games" during the holidays. The big money pushes the market higher going into year's end. However, I'm prepped for a "December 2018" situation to coincide with the December 18th FOMC.
AURUM
2024-11-22 07:29:14 +0000 UTCMav is totally correct. Credit leads stock up or down. JNK is a solid leading indicator but I also follow HYT, HYG, and FLOT. And for fuck's sake stop buying TLT. The long bond is dead money... we have been in a bond bear market since around FEB 2020. I do 4-week Tbills. 4 weeks is my max, not 20 (lol) years. In the face of a financial crisis what's safer, a regional bank? a credit union? I keep a lot of cash parked at Treasurydirect.gov. 4-week duration is my MAXIMUM. The debt market is just about dead.
AURUM
2024-11-22 07:00:53 +0000 UTC
