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azaleaellis
azaleaellis

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Slight Delay

My writing computer, an iMac, has been a trooper for many years with zero problems, but in the last few days has very suddenly slowed down to the point it takes minutes to load a web page. It will not even open Scrivener--which I need access to for all my lore and plotting notes. I am taking it into the repair shop directly after posting this message, but if they cannot fix it I'll need to buy a replacement. I'm almost certain to miss this week's Thursday chapter. It's just one thing after another this month, huh?

Update:

My computer is still in the shop.

It was a 2017 iMac, and part of the fusion drive was beginning to fail. They offered to replace it with a modern SSD (for an unfortunately high price that I accepted to avoid the hassle of trying to order parts and do everything myself--that's how they get you), and told me the repair and transfer of info to the new hard drive would take them 2-4 business days.

I haven't heard back yet but if that holds true, it should be finished soon-ish. Fingers crossed. Once it is repaired, it should last another 3-5 years before slowly becoming obsolete, which I think is pretty good value overall.

And some minor consolation, please have this recent photo of my coworker Ender. He is on a two-cat cat tree, which his kaiju-like frame takes the entirety of.



And here's another of him on a secret spy mission that involves some moving materials and the the protection of some nuclear codes.


 
This one is a bit older, as he tries to take a quick nap on his office chair so that he can get back to writing these books for me, but has some trouble with his head falling off the side. He just let his head hang like that, entirely unsupported, for several minutes.


I'll keep you updated, but I anticipate that if nothing goes wrong with the repair, I'll be back with a chapter by next Thursday. And then hopefully smooth sailing from there.

Update #2: I finally have my computer back, as of an hour ago! That is the good news.

The bad news is that this leaves me with about 2 days to complete and edit the chapter, and I am not a particularly fast writer.

I'll do the best I can, but it's possible, if this next chapter ends up being on the longer end (which is likely unless there's a good stopping point and I feel there's enough content to split it into two chapters), that there will be a short delay before it's posted.

Like, maybe it won't come out until Friday.

In a small silver lining, I have been getting some long-term plotting work done and making several notes for ideas to add to upcoming chapters while I've been without my work computer, so this time hasn't been wasted.

And please take this fourth picture of Ender for your amusement. He likes to entice belly rubs by acting provocative. Unlike some cats, he will take unlimited belly rubs without becoming angry.

 

Update #3:

Indeed, it is not going quickly. Or rather, it's just that there's too much to do. This chapter is very important and a bit delicate, and I really needed more time.

I've been putting in the hours and pushing my brain to fatigue, but the chapter is not ready yet. IT MIGHT NOT BE READY BY TOMORROW. But unless I end up in the hospital there's no way it will be later than Saturday. Obviously, the chapter being the right is more important than it coming out on time, but I really, really do not like delaying releases, and it sucks that I've had to do it multiple times recently. It makes my skin itch, guys.

It's partially due to the fact that I've had unexpected "real-life" stuff going on (in various forms, but including the computer issues, getting stuck in transition before moving, finally moving, ongoing family obligations, etc), but mostly it's because I don't have any buffer chapters left.

Life always happens and things go wrong. It's expected. But if I had the chapter buffer I've been working with until now, sometimes I write less and sometimes more, and I would be generally able to keep a consistent weekly release schedule.

My goal is to start rebuilding the buffer so that this doesn't happen again any time soon. I want my readers to be able to depend on the release day and time without wondering.

So, my apologies. Hopefully the chapter will be worth the wait.

Update #4:

Just confirming that the chapter IS coming tonight. I still need to write the ending, do a quick editing pass, and post it, but it should only be a few more hours.

Slight Delay

Comments

I'll keep this in mind. Thank you. :)

Azalea Ellis

Sorry for the late reply, begna. I'm thinking of putting out a special edition of Book 1 that includes a special extra in the back from me about how I came up with the ideas and digs a little into my writing process (along with several other extras and goodies). But as always, I'll get to it...someday.

Azalea Ellis

I've watched to many apple repair videos to ever trust an apple product. They make their equipment intentionally difficult to repair.

Morog T Tiny

Jonathan, so right. When we compile the outside view of comparable examples, our biases show up much less. The book *Superforecasting* demonstrates that our thinking is also better. The "inside view" of the story we tell ourselves is inherently misleading. It has value, but only after we're firmly anchored to what is likely reality. Azalea, our poor performance on estimation actually ties to a general problem. Humans only learn well when we have rapid feedback between our decisions and the results. By its nature, estimation is a kind of task where feedback loops are slow. And therefore we literally cannot learn from experience. But don't take my word for it. https://compoundingmyinterests.com/compounding-the-blog/2015/10/20/daniel-kahneman-on-intuition-and-the-outside-view is an interview with a Nobel award winning psychologist who focused on how we think, how we make decisions, and when our decisions are reliable. Long story short, experts are only to be trusted when those rapid feedback loops are to be found. Worse yet, experts themselves have no idea when they should be trusted. I can make this worse. As https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691178288/expert-political-judgment managed to demonstrate. it is predictable who we choose as experts when we're given a chance. We want people who are smart, knowledgeable, and confident of their conclusions. It is also predictable who does a better job of predicting the world. They are smart, quantitative, explicitly unsure of the best approach to take, and are explicitly tentative in their conclusions. In short we actively prefer experts who do a bad job of being experts! Why? Because it is not actually our desire to make better decisions. We only think we want that. What we really want is to outsource our thinking. "This smart and knowledgeable person is confident. Surely we'd agree if we did the same research. So let's just accept what they have to say." But that confidence is a far better sign of someone prone to cognitive bias than it is of someone who is correct. And so we, individually, collectively, and as organizations, actively prefer to listen to the people we should ignore. And prefer to ignore the people we should really listen to! Crazy, huh?

Ben Tilly

I seen, reading it now, thanks you’re marvelous!

Jordan Rogers

It's here!

Azalea Ellis

It's so true. We humans (hello, fellow kids!) are not good at estimating how long things will take. Especially those who are high Achiever (Clifton Strengths) like myself. I also tend to think that any time I have a particularly awesome day and am super productive, that that's my new normal and I will achieve that level of success every day forever. I am always quite saddened to look at what I want to accomplish, then compare it to what I have actually proven I can do over the past 10 years of writing. I do improve, but in small increments of maybe 3-5% per year.

Azalea Ellis

Update #4!

Jordan Rogers

The most reliable method of estimation is to take the amount of time it took to do a project of similar complexity and estimate from there. For instance: “Wow, if it takes 8 weeks to write the proposed regulation, and 2 weeks for executive review, and 4 weeks of comment, and 4 weeks to review the comments, and 4 weeks to write the rule, and 2 weeks of executive review, we can have a final rule published in 6 months!” “Uh. Sure. You do know that the last time we did a rule like this, it took 5 years.” “What? No, you can get it done faster than that!” … skip ahead 2.5 years: “We’ve got the proposal written, who would have thought it would take this long?” You get the idea.

Jonathan Gordy

Yeah, the story got pushed to the next sprint, let's discuss this at the upcoming retrospective =D

Suolojavri

Thank you for the third update. My sense is that writing is like programming. We naturally estimate what will happen if everything goes right. It is very, very hard to pad our estimate enough for the normal things that tend to go wrong. And if a lot of plot/character things depend on the chapter, things usually will go wrong as you realize belatedly what wasn't in there, or what shouldn't have been in there, etc. The usual estimate in programming is to take how long you think it will be, then double it. If you're interested in knowing more, I'd happily either discuss privately, or recommend a bunch of books. The cognitive biases that cause us difficulty in estimating complex projects sound like a wonderful topic for a lecture from Thaddeus Lacer one of these days. Just one example. "A software project's deadline is usually the earliest date that nobody can disprove." Here's another result from research a long time ago. The average completed large software project takes over 2x the estimated schedule, over 2x the estimated budget, and is delivered with < 1/2 the planned features. And these are the successes - less than half ever release! Sounds familiar?

Ben Tilly

Unlimited belly rubs? I've finally found an author willing to write my darkest fantasies.

hhttghlk

I would find it super cool if you did artifact cards in the same way as you do character cards. The spell rod (forgot the name) Siobhan designed, for example. Would help with understanding it aswell. Super adorable cat ❤️

Tjolbin

WOOT!!! Great news all around.

Stefanie

It is better good than early. I look forward to finding out what you have plotted!

Ben Tilly

One cannot entirely discount computer gremlins. Do you have proper warding artifacts? I write on an iPad, and the other week it stopped charging. The peace of mind of the cloud backup saved my sanity. I completely turned it off, knowing at if it failed, I at least wouldn’t have lost everything. The people at the computer outlet I showed it to were saying “oh, if it’s broken, just get a replacement, because that’s cheaper.” ($800? really?) Although, I kid you not, the fix was to turn it off completely and turn it back on; so I seemingly fixed it by accident. The Apple care woman must have thought I was silly to bring in a working iPad for them to look at.

Jonathan Gordy

I think the Red Guard is to blame for the computer kerfuffle.... Have you been out walking in the rain with it lately? .... or maybe it has one of those magical crab/small cat eating spiders in it???

Jim A

That's what my oldest cat used to try on me, but luckily she has white paws: "Oh, I'm SO glad you found me! I was looking all over for you." I'm glad you found him easily - that would give me a heart attack. Too many animals that like eating fluffy cats.

Stefanie

Ender: Ich no hablo 英語

hhttghlk

Omg he's such a charming little chonker. 🤗 You've got your work cut out for you if you want the next chapter to top the cat pics.

hhttghlk

I must have just not used enough blood. So embarrassing 😖

hhttghlk

In the pictures I could not see Ender’s Shadow. I wish that box was labeled Exile. I’m convinced Ender killed the computer… he is the Speaker for the Dead after all. I am sorry for the computer problems. Whenever my Mac computers start to die I just buy a new one and restore from Time Machine or iCloud backup. It’s not worth the repair cost to me.. and I used to work at an IT center for my school where I repaired computers. I will keep a PC alive and pick and choose parts from old builds, but old Macs are pretty much useless in my book. As soon as Apple stops supporting OS updates on a model it’s time to upgrade.

William Allison

@SnowingSilently I think a lot of people would just buy a new battery actually.

hhttghlk

Azalea, great to hear that it’s going to keep working. Huge fan of your writing (obviously, as I’m here). I have > 20 years in tech, 5 of them in IT (hard drive replacements, computer repair, etc). Not offering anything weird or more than messages, but if you ever want advice on backup solutions, external hard drives, or even future computer replacements, please feel free to post, I’ll happily comment. If you already have people for that, I believe it and I’m sorry if any of this came out condescending. Very happy to hear your issue is solved and love the cat. Hope your month gets easier. Also, love the cat. Reminds me of my buddy, long passed now. He was a lot scragglier than your little guy.

Anotherb Account

Unfortunately, he is aware that he's cute. He's also aware that he's black, and he becomes much too bold at night. I accidentally left his cat door open a couple of nights ago and he went for a long nighttime trek in our new neighborhood, completely ignoring all calls for his return. He's been outside before at night, hiding in the bushes two feet from me, and completely ignoring my calls for him because he knows I can't see him. And then as soon as I bring out a flashlight and make eye contact, he's all: *innocent meow?* "Were you looking for ME? Well, how could I possibly have known that?"

Azalea Ellis

Macs are nice when you need programs that work better on a Mac, or when you need programs that literally don't have a Windows alternative. They still have a lot of advantages for specific industry work, which I happen to be in.

Azalea Ellis

PyritePlunder handled it with a few goats 😂

Stefanie

Cat pictures are almost as good! Both of mine do the weird limp-neck-off-the-chair thing, too. He's so cute 😍

Stefanie

Weeeell... I would say a Mac is *never* a good value, but... Ha, well, hopefully it's fixed soon!

Hibou Ronchon

I don’t know if the Fusion Drive alone could cause that issue. I’ve got a heavily used 2014 iMac with a Fusion Drive and I’m fairly certain that the SSD portion of it has worn out, but it’s still usable on just the HDD portion, it can play War Thunder on minimum graphics. Well at least they have the good graces to swap the data across. Good luck!

James Barclay

I have slaughtered two of my goats and now offer them to the laptop repair gods in exchange for a quick resolution and more chapters

PyritePlunder

It's been two days. Do we have an update? I'm with everyone who hoped for an easy repair. But the fact we haven't heard back since makes me fear for the worst.

Ben Tilly

I'm glad that your experience was better than mine. They are are now paying out on a class action lawsuit about it. This is evidence that it really happened at least once. https://thehill.com/homenews/nexstar_media_wire/4395522-apple-paying-out-claims-in-500-million-iphone-slowdown-lawsuit-did-you-qualify/

Ben Tilly

IM BLEEDING A PINT NOW

Darcyspride

We can definitely do better than *try.*

Stefanie

Well... we could try

K. William Klaassen

Sure, I'm not denying planned obsolescence is a thing, but it's easy enough to do to a computer by just cheaping out on parts, no software necessary. For example, thermal paste or pads just failing over time is easy to do, saves them some money, and many customers don't or can't fix their phones so will just upgrade. Batteries for phones do genuinely have a pretty limited lifespan, and I could see Apple believing that it's okay to force on customers longer battery life over a not slow phone because they think it's more important to the user experience. They do plenty of stupid decisions like this. If they just let the battery degrade by not letting it throttle, the battery life will have shortened considerably and many people would have upgrade anyways. They do many malicious things but I think this isn't one of them, either case I think people are upgrading.

SnowingSilently

The one problem that can't be solved with blood magic.

hhttghlk

Extending battery life is the excuse apple used only after being caught. If it were true they wouldn't have hidden in the first place and there are lots of better ways they could implement it that would be an actual quality of life improvement instead of a source frustration. E.g. Restoring functionality when the battery is replaced or just giving users the ability to decide for themselves. Planned obsolescence is absolutely a thing, and tech is companies are really good at it because we all got used to upgrading every few years and most of us don't know enough about how it all works to diffentiate between an artificial problem and a real one.

hhttghlk

Thanks for the heads up, looking forward to next week!

Milan Seyed Mahmoud

The slowdown was on iPhones to prolong the life of the phone since batteries degrade over time. As far as I'm aware, no such slowdown exists in their desktop devices (maybe laptops, but shouldn't include iMacs). I think it's just aging hardware. Apple's devices often last longer than many other manufacturers, but they will still breakdown over time, no slowdown needed.

SnowingSilently

Really appreciate the early communication here!! Hopefully it's fixable 🤞

chumponimys

Hope your iMac feels better soon!

Rolf

I already talked to you about it, but I'm so sorry that this happened and I hope they are able to fix it!

Stefanie

It's so depressing. I never want to upgrade tech, but I had to last year when my 10 year old computer bit the dust and my 5 year old phone experienced an apple-induced slowdown.

Stefanie

In my experience with using Macs as my daily computer hours on end for close to a quarter of a century I have never been subjected to the kind of designed fault you mention here, but the rest sounds like good advice.

Rolf

Well, if the iMac is over a certain age, that slowdown is most likely a designed fault created to force you into buying a new. The fact that apple and most other tech companies does shit like this is nothing new and HP has actually been caught red handed doing it to their printers. So you shouldn't be surprised if the same thing has happened to your IMac. A balanced linux install, which is very similar to that of an iMac, will run for a decade without issues, unless you use it as your daily driver. That will hasten it's breakdown date by a lot, but the kind of slowdown you talk about that appears suddenly will either have come from a built in age fault or a newly installed program, or updated program. It sucks royally, just be extremely careful to grab backups of everything asap. And just one backup doesn't count. The thing is, a computer does not randomly slowdown, there is always a reason and usually use is the main culprit, but as stated built in age faults can also cause odd slowdows in aging products. You typically se such age limits in products that are older than 5-6 years, that's when such faults can start to appear. But oddly enough only if the computer or mac, is in daily use as that will count as a use day and be added to the failure point limit. It's a rotten world, but sadly we live in it.

Jørgen

Hopefully you get it fixed! I'd have them prioritize data recovery/retention. It's likely a storage issue based on pas iMac experiences. If it's older, it might even still have a hard drive in it. But can easily be migrated to an SSD with applications like Macrium by anyone with a drive dock. Of course, it could be something else entirely, but make sure to get backed up first and foremost! Also, very interested to see you use Scrivener. Would love some bonus "how does Azalea write" content if you ever feel up to it. :) seeing how different creators work is always so interesting to me.

begna112

Electronics are so reliably unreliable! Good luck!

Silvia Wakefield

ITS OK WE LOVE YOU

Darcyspride


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