"Nothing ever happens" full strategy breakdown
Added 2025-12-12 02:33:00 +0000 UTChttps://pub.tik.ee.ethz.ch/students/2022-HS/SA-2022-42.pdf
Comments
Glad you're here
Ben needs your money
2026-01-18 22:35:08 +0000 UTCI literally have no idea what 98% of the words you say mean, i am just happy to be here.
Maior Andrei Cosmin
2026-01-15 20:57:20 +0000 UTCHey you should check out the daily SPX up/down on poly lots of volume with opportunities to market make if you have the capital
LinkedQuinn
2025-12-16 21:00:00 +0000 UTCDoes anybody have an invite code for Polymarket ?
MagicManny
2025-12-15 12:22:01 +0000 UTCWill do this
Ben needs your money
2025-12-14 15:12:07 +0000 UTCwould love to see a video where you actually use deep value investing strategies that youve talked about in past videos to screen for current stocks. would be sick to see your thought process
Will Pierpont
2025-12-14 09:32:49 +0000 UTCWith Polymarket's liquidity rewards there's also some incentive to keep the price further away from 0/100 because anytime the mid price is outside the [10,90] interval you have to have orders on both sides of the book to get the rewards. The RU/UA ceasefire by end of year market is currently at 2.7 cents for yes and maybe there's still some intrinsic value for like a Christmas truce or similar, but most of that is probably people hoping to collect some of the $100/day that market is paying out in rewards.
Mikhail Soumar
2025-12-14 04:10:52 +0000 UTCmartingaling
allan
2025-12-13 20:04:48 +0000 UTCAnother factor here is that market makers don't wanna hold these high priced shares because it's very capital inefficient. That's another thing that could keep the price from converging
Ben needs your money
2025-12-12 22:34:01 +0000 UTCI'm not sure exactly what you're describing but good rule of thumb is there are no arbs in index options because the big dawgs take all the money
Ben needs your money
2025-12-12 18:52:00 +0000 UTCBen I need degenerate expert advise, if I were to create a debit call and debit put spread for an index option 0-1 DTE, and receive good pricing, could this be a directional arbitrage opportunity. I know the risk is if the stock stay at the same price at expiration, but canβt we leverage the statistical data about the SPY price to have some sort of meaningful edge in this strangle trade, just performed a trade like this with a small sample size and profited like $5 on $90 of cost
MagicManny
2025-12-12 18:06:57 +0000 UTCNothing ever happens -> short vol -> blow out -> double down -> blow out again -> double down again -> clench cheeks -> profit
Eric Ha
2025-12-12 06:02:58 +0000 UTCyea tons of stuff like this in the prediction markets
Ben needs your money
2025-12-12 02:49:07 +0000 UTCAlso too high to make sense of any of this but π
Eric Williams
2025-12-12 02:46:59 +0000 UTCIf they arenβt priced in already
MagicManny
2025-12-12 02:43:20 +0000 UTCIs it possible that there are other trades like the Bitcoin Arbitrage, for examples SPY debit spreads and Kalshi
MagicManny
2025-12-12 02:42:53 +0000 UTCFirst
Eric Williams
2025-12-12 02:38:07 +0000 UTCsorry for that mic bump sound idk why that happened
Ben needs your money
2025-12-12 02:34:25 +0000 UTC
