Guide to Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
Added 2024-09-23 00:04:55 +0000 UTCDrink every time Ben says arb, arbitrage, markets, or dislocation
Comments
You can just subtract the transaction price to get the true price to see if theres an edge or not so doesnt really matter
Vegard g
2024-10-19 19:16:56 +0000 UTCsucks that kalshi is not available outside the usa
KruczEEk
2024-10-14 00:50:45 +0000 UTCMusk just posted a screenshot of Trump vs Kamala prediction on polymarket. He tried to convince the audience that it's an efficient market with accurate probabilities. Guess time to make money 💰
Speculator
2024-10-07 07:24:40 +0000 UTCI don't think it would affect the odds? But not sure. I think it definitely leads to less volume
Ben needs your money
2024-09-26 12:11:59 +0000 UTClike if the prices are far enough apart it would be pretty obvious that with or without tx fees there’s an arb
Varun Kandoth
2024-09-25 16:41:16 +0000 UTCactually probably not much
Varun Kandoth
2024-09-25 16:33:45 +0000 UTCdoes the fact that there’s transaction fees on kalshi and not on polymarket affect the odds on kalshi?
Varun Kandoth
2024-09-25 16:32:29 +0000 UTCThat seems to be my fate.
Ghulam Shamulzai
2024-09-25 01:39:23 +0000 UTCLove to hear it! If you need access to account lmk and I can provide. (I think it’s ~$60 for first month)
Dimitar Markovski
2024-09-24 15:12:36 +0000 UTCMay as well try the degen route is always open if it doesn't work lol
Ben needs your money
2024-09-24 14:59:59 +0000 UTCI've heard of it I'll definitely check it out.
Ben needs your money
2024-09-24 14:59:40 +0000 UTCHell yea glad it's working out!
Ben needs your money
2024-09-24 14:59:09 +0000 UTCDude, been an og subscriber, originally found you on youtube. I've taken a few of your video instructionals and created automated systems with them. Your video about deep value investing was my first system. I have to agree that in the beginning, yeah it sucks. But I think that's just part of the journey. But after a while, you get the hang of it, and it def gets better. It def helps to have a programming background though. Anyway, keep making great content man. Love your blog.
some guy
2024-09-24 14:30:10 +0000 UTCYo beni, you should make a video on blackboxstocks and review it and see what the hell goes on in there. They focus heavy on options and the flow actually helped me in my decision making. Check it out and see for yourself king! I know you can make something happen w it
Dimitar Markovski
2024-09-24 14:27:28 +0000 UTCI am actually trying to write one one these algorithms with Python and a API from polygon and alphaadvantage with libraries like ta-lib, py_vollib,yahoo finance and quant lib. I think I should stop.
Ghulam Shamulzai
2024-09-23 17:51:04 +0000 UTCYay
Matteo Winandy
2024-09-23 01:28:39 +0000 UTCIf, by the small chance this is a genuine question, then keep you money in a .01% yield checking account
Matteo Winandy
2024-09-23 01:28:33 +0000 UTCBuying high and selling low works for me ususally
Ben needs your money
2024-09-23 01:20:32 +0000 UTCI’m 16, a bit autistic, and trading options. Any tips on risk tolerance? Money either spawns too fast or lose too fast.
FatMcDonaldMan
2024-09-23 00:11:04 +0000 UTC
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