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NEW VIDEO! The Bayesian Trap

I didn't say it explicitly in the video, but in my view the Bayesian trap is interpreting events that happen repeatedly as events that happen inevitably. They may be inevitable OR they may simply be the outcome of a series of steps, which likely depend on our behaviour. Yet our expectation of a certain outcome often leads us to behave just as we always have which only ensures that outcome. To escape the Bayesian trap, we must be willing to experiment.

NEW VIDEO! The Bayesian Trap

Comments

Thank you for covering this topic well. This is information worth spreading, and you did a very fine job.

Steve

I think Jacob Bronowski said it best in his famous quote regarding believing in absolutes (0% priors or 100% priors) . Again, another brilliant presentation. Would that more people were curious enough to learn about this topic.


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