It's Just a Bad Flu (Part 1 of 2)
Added 2021-04-30 12:35:03 +0000 UTCWe speak about India's COVID "disaster", outline the grand COVID-19 narratives framing this "pandemic", and give our final verdicts on COVID-19 lethality, its effect on health care capacity, and lockdowns. Part 1 of 2.
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Some studies mentioned:
John Ioannidis meta-analysis showing a 0.15% IFR: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/eci.13554
March 19th cohort study on COVID lethality: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32201354/
Briand's working paper on USA death rates: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349925425_COVID-19_Deaths_A_Look_at_US_Data_FEB_2021_WORKING_PAPER_Genevieve_Briand
Comments
Thank you, Felicity, for the kind comments.
William Mckay
2021-05-07 12:50:13 +0000 UTCThanks for this episode, your work is much appreciated. I’ve spent this whole nightmare railing against the insane response to covid by governments everywhere. It never made sense to me, and I always believed that the only response should’ve been reinforcing and expanding hospital capacity and training and paying staff better. Controlling a respiratory disease like this is not the job of government. This is not something that is the fault of a dirty water supply or something like that. Nobody ever expected the government to stop anyone catching flu. But they can research cures, give out (non-hysterical) information and provide treatment. I am so sick of everyone going through the most obscure statistics and quoting totally out of context “facts” about covid that I try to avoid anything that mentions the word. ( Not easy! I ride horses, and even when it comes to that I’m constantly subjected to videos of people from the UK and USA in the middle of 10 acre fields on horseback wearing god damn masks!! ) Anyway, I particularly wanted to thank you for the India research. After ranting about insane fear mongering all year to my husband, he come to me the other day with “ did you HEAR about INDIA... blah blah blah...?” You confirmed what I guessed was actually going on, and though I’m impressed with how accurate my own analysis was, I can’t get too smug because the pattern really does just repeat itself endlessly. But, again, thanks for doing The Work, and making me feel like I’m not alone. I really appreciate you guys. Covid has been super revealing, and there are only a few podcasts I can bear listening to anymore. Thanks for putting out regular episodes. Felicity
Felicity
2021-05-07 10:07:52 +0000 UTCNot necessarily, because this is only for those that the disease *infects* -- not everyone will catch the disease all at the same time, as herd immunity builds and social interactions are heterogeneous.
William Mckay
2021-05-04 22:54:40 +0000 UTCSorry to be dense or annoying but if I understand correctly it seems that if the .15 % claim is anything close for US, then the claim of over 500K deaths has to be greatly exaggerated.
David Green
2021-05-04 21:31:13 +0000 UTC
